Kevin Hillstrom: MineThatData

Exploring How Customers Interact With Advertising, Products, Brands, and Channels, using Multichannel Forensics.

March 14, 2008

Your Company's Multichannel DNA

Here's what I did. I scanned the 2007 10-K statements of five publicly traded companies:
  • Nordstrom (JWN).
  • J.C. Penney (JCP).
  • Williams Sonoma (WSM).
  • J. Crew (JCG).
  • Coldwater Creek (CWTR).
Within each document, I scanned terms, like STORES, RETAIL, MULTI-CHANNEL, CATALOG, ONLINE, INTERNET, WEB, MAIL ORDER, CUSTOMER, CONSUMER, E-COMMERCE, E-MAIL, and DATABASE.

After tabulating the results, I was able to rank each of the five brands on the basis of how often these terms were used. The terms reflect how the management team of each company views the world. Let's take a peek at the findings.


Stores / Retail: The results aren't surprising, with Nordstrom and J.C. Penney skewing heaviest to these terms. Clearly, these brands view themselves as retailers, not so much as direct marketers.
  • Nordstrom = 68.1%
  • J.C. Penney = 67.3%
  • J. Crew = 56.4%
  • Coldwater Creek = 53.3%
  • Williams Sonoma = 51.5%
Catalog: Guess which companies used this term most often? Sure, the ones with a catalog heritage (though JCP shows how they changed over time).
  • Williams Sonoma = 14.9%
  • Coldwater Creek = 12.5%
  • J. Crew = 10.6%
  • J.C. Penney = 5.6%.
  • Nordstrom = 4.7%.
Internet: This one is a bit murkier to interpret. I'll leave it up to you!
  • Williams Sonoma = 11.6%
  • J. Crew = 11.5%
  • Nordstrom = 9.7%
  • J.C. Penney = 8.1%
  • Coldwater Creek = 7.8%
E-Mail: Do these companies care about e-mail marketing enough to say something about it? Nope. E-Mail marketers appear to have work to do to prove the viability of this channel to Sr. Management.
  • Coldwater Creek = 3.0%.
  • J. Crew = 0.9%
  • Nordstrom = 0.0%
  • J.C. Penney = 0.0%
  • Williams Sonoma = 0.0%
Multichannel: We hear the buzzword over and over and over from the vendor community. Do the management of these brands talk about it publicly? Not really.
  • Nordstrom = 2.9%
  • Coldwater Creek = 1.8%
  • Williams Sonoma = 0.4%
  • J.C. Penney = 0.3%
  • J. Crew = 0.3%
Customer: Often mentioned in context with the direct channel, this illustrates how often these brands talk about serving customers, vs. managing stores. Notice the inverse relationship with retail focus.
  • Williams Sonoma = 21.4%
  • Coldwater Creek = 20.3%
  • J. Crew = 19.8%
  • J.C. Penney = 18.8%
  • Nordstrom = 14.7%
Database: Does anybody mention metrics from the customer or e-mail database? Nope! A tip of the hat to Coldwater Creek for at least having a bit of database information available.
  • Coldwater Creek = 1.3%
  • J. Crew = 0.6%
  • Nordstrom = 0.0%
  • J.C. Penney = 0.0%
  • Williams Sonoma = 0.0%

Does Any Of This Mean Anything? Yes!

The management teams of each company speak publicly, in an official manner, once a year. When they speak, they signal to the public what they care about.

Nordstrom and J.C. Penney care about retail, though Nordstrom talks more about being multichannel than anybody else. Clearly, Nordstrom wants to use the direct channel to inspire retail growth, given that they don't talk about their catalog or online channels much.

Williams Sonoma management discussions are skewed toward catalog. Williams Sonoma speaks about the online channel more than anybody else as well. The DNA of this company is all about direct marketing. Even though this company has a veritable plethora of retail locations compared with somebody like Nordstrom, the way this company views the world is fundamentally different.

J. Crew has a direct marketing skew, though the skew is focused online. The web means something more to J. Crew management than to the companies that have a catalog focus.

Coldwater Creek has the most unusual DNA of the companies listed. Management appears to view channels from a marketing standpoint, mentioning catalog marketing, e-mail marketing, and the customer database more often than the rest.


The data qualitatively illustrate that the management teams, and in all likelihood the culture of each company, have a DNA that determines "who they are".

This view of "who they are" may determine how each company approaches the future. Companies with a catalog heritage will believe in catalog marketing as a solution. Companies that view the web as an integral tool will use it to drive future business. Companies that view stores as the core part of the business might use direct marketing to improve comps.

What is the DNA of the company you work for? How does your DNA shape how your company views the future?

Labels: , , , , , , , , , ,

January 31, 2008

Retail Is Struggling

J.C. Penney merges marketing and merchandising functions across online/retail channels, then cuts 100 - 200 jobs. I'll bet that the 100 - 200 people who lost their jobs aren't big fans of multichannel integration.

Ann Taylor lets go of 13% of their corporate staff, 180 jobs amid a tepid retail environment. In addition, 117 stores will be closed.

Talbots to shut down 78 kids and mens stores. Sure this is old news, but it is reflective of what could be a widespread problem in 2008. This economic downturn could weed-out a lot of over-assorted retail square footage.

Eddie Bauer cuts 16% of its corporate staff, even as sales improved in Q4.

Home Depot cuts 500 corporate jobs, 10% of the corporate staff. Assume these are $75,000 a year jobs (including benefits). Take the $210,000,000 that former CEO Robert Nardelli garnered as part of his golden parachute, divide it by $75,000, and you are able to keep these 500 folks gainfully employed for another five years.

Dell plans to close 140 shopping mall kiosks.

Starbucks will close 100 underperforming stores.

If you are a retail real estate executive, you have to be wondering who the retailers are that will line up for the store locations made available by the great recession of 2008?

Old Navy updates their logo
, and elects to move away from families, now focusing on a fashion-based twenty-something target audience.

Trees rejoice as USPS volume drops by 3% in Q1-2008.

Labels: , , , , , ,

February 02, 2007

J.C. Penney CEO, Web 2.0, And Multichannel Forensics

DMNews reports that "multichannel" is the key theme at Shop.org's FirstLook show.

Of interest is the comment from J.C. Penney Chairman/CEO Mike Ullman, who says of direct marketing, "We see the three channels getting more and more blurred. The big book is becoming less important, because the big book is online."

Small businesses and growing businesses need catalogs, because the print version of advertising is still the most cost-effective way to grow a direct-to-consumer business.

However, large businesses like J.C. Penney are going through two dramatic transformations that we all need to keep an eye on.

The first transformation is the death of the telephone/paper relationship, being replaced by e-commerce. This has been happening in earnest since about 1999. J.C. Penney's direct business transitioned this year to more than fifty percent online. Once the online channel is more than fifty percent of the direct business, CFO's become very curious about all those dollars being spent on paper.

The first transformation (telephone/paper to e-commerce) impacted catalogers the most.

The second transformation is just beginning to happen, and may change our businesses far more than e-commerce. The second transformation is the shift in the online channel from e-commerce to experience.

The second transformation (e-commerce to experience) will impact retailers and online pureplays the most. Just because we can purchase merchandise online doesn't mean we want to purchase merchandise online. Retailers who can, in some way, re-create the in-store experience, or significantly complement the in-store experience in a virtual world, will have a huge advantage over online pureplays and online/catalog businesses, who do not have an experience-based channel to please customers with.

The recent bare-knuckled, bloody fist fight between Endless.com and Zappos.com illustrates the desperation online pureplays are feeling. As the second transformation (e-commerce to experience) integrates with the retail experience, businesses like Zappos compete the only logical way they can --- by offering free shipping. Endless trumps Zappos by offering free next-day shipping. Zappos matches Endless, then, Endless trumps Zappos by offering free next-day shipping along with a five dollar rebate.

Websites were constructed to be static, read-only experiences. We built a ton of infrastructure to make e-commerce possible. Over the next decade, this read-only experience will likely be replaced by an experience-based channel. Web 2.0, blogs, wikis, YouTube et.al are the embryonic representation of this transformation.

This is really going to be fun to watch!

This transformation really requires the implementation of multichannel forensics. All businesses with a website must have intimate knowledge of how their customers interact with products, brands and channels.

Labels: , , , ,