Kevin Hillstrom: MineThatData

Exploring How Customers Interact With Advertising, Products, Brands, and Channels, using Multichannel Forensics.

October 09, 2008

Marketing Tactics Cannot Save Nordstrom Comps

Many marketing pundits talk about branding and social media and word of mouth and multichannel marketing and online marketing and catalog marketing as if they were a magical elixir.

Now take a peek at Nordstrom's comp store sales results from September.
  • Nordstrom Rack (lower-price channel) = +2.6%.
  • Nordstrom Full-Line Store Sales (full-price channel) = -14%.
That's a price-sensitive customer responding to the end of easy money.

Nordstrom does all the things the pundits tell them they should ... they've worked hard to align merch and creative across channels. They have a credit program with a loyalty component. They offer high price channels and lower priced channels. They mail advertising-based catalogs. They have an e-commerce website with reasonable integration with stores. They have a presence on Facebook and MySpace. They offer better customer service than almost anybody. They offer free shipping promotions from time to time, and offer a reasonable $5 flat fee for shipping. They drive hundreds of thousands of visitors from blogs due to buzz-worthy merchandise. They have in-store events that drive traffic. They minimize sales events so that the three sales events they do have drive traffic and profit. They do outbound telemarketing, not CRM/computerized junk, but actual calls from actual store employees. They have an integrated database with data from all channels. They hired a plethora of highly qualified MBAs to drive marketing strategy fused with customer research and database insights. They have an experienced management team that tries to drive volume with honesty and integrity. They have more word-of-mouth marketing than almost anybody could ever hope for. They execute a solid paid-search program. They do portal advertising. They have an affiliate marketing program. They execute versioned e-mail marketing campaigns where customers can choose the e-mail marketing versions they receive. They do magazine advertising. They do radio and newspaper advertising during sales.

But all of those things mean almost nothing, when the customer is faced with challenges. The marketing tactics sure didn't enhance shareholder value, did they? The price of a share of JWN stock dropped by at least sixty percent in the past nineteen months --- wouldn't want to count on that for retirement --- my investment in Nordstrom, encouraged by management during my tenure, is now underwater.

Marketing pundits, here's your opportunity to fight back. Would Nordstrom comp store sales have dropped by 20% or 30% without all the tactics you've told retailers they must execute? Or are the strategies utterly feckless in the face of changing consumer sentiment?

And if the strategies are this impotent when faced with changing consumer sentiment, did they ever have any real worth in the first place?

Discuss!

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March 17, 2007

Victoria's Secret, Free Shipping, and Google

I am Kevin Hillstrom, host of The MineThatData Blog. I average 135 daily visitors, and have about 300 RSS subscribers. That yields about 158,000 visits a year. In the history of my blog, I only recall writing about Victoria's Secret once.

Victoria's Secret
is a gigantic multichannel mega-brand that runs free shipping promotions from time to time.

So when a customer uses Google to search for "Victoria's Secret Free Shipping", why doesn't Victoria's Secret appear in the top ten results, but The MineThatData Blog appears in the top five?

Does the customer who conducted this search want to know about the actual free shipping promotion, or my opinion about a free shipping promotion?

Multichannel CEOs and CMOs: Stop arguing about the USPS and proposed postage increases. Start challenging Google to provide relevant search results. Is Google your friend? Is Google actually a competitor of yours, one that is blocking traffic that should be going to your site? Or does Google make a lot of innocent mistakes, like the rest of us? I'd put my money on the latter --- I would also challenge you to start challenging Google the way you challenge the rest of your trusted vendors, folks you've worked with for decades.


UPDATE 2007.03.18: Here's a couple of searches that produce similar results:

Nordstrom Marketing

Neiman Marcus Blog

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